Packers vs. Panthers Betting Line
Away: Green Bay Packers
Home: Carolina Panthers
When: Week 2. September 18, 2011. 1:00 pm ET. Televised on FOX.
The latest Packers vs. Panthers betting lines for week 2 of the 2011 NFL season are listed below. Click on any of the odds or sportsbook logos to place a bet. Scroll down this page for game analysis and our predictions for the Packers vs. Panthers game. View all NFL week 2 betting lines.
Latest Packers at Panthers Betting Lines: Week 2, 2011
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Panthers vs. Packers Analysis & Prediction
The Green Bay Packers are the far better team in this week 2 matchup against the Carolina Panthers, but Cam Newton makes things interesting. Not interesting enough to take the Panthers on the money line, but possibly interesting enough to take the 10 points at Bodog.
These teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum. Of course the Packers are the reigning Super Bowl Champions, while the Panthers had the worst record (2-14) in the NFL last year.
In 2011 – 2012, the Carolina Panthers should be more competitive, but they’re not ready to beat teams like the Packers – regardless of where the game is being played. Even at home, and even with Cam Newton’s impressive week 1, they’re a team with gaps to expose. The Panthers had the worst offense in the league last season, and now they have a rookie QB with one regular season game under his belt.
The Packers put up 42 points against a very good Saints team in week 1, giving up 34. Giving up 34 points doesn’t scare me because the Saints offense is one of the best in the league. We can’t draw any comparisons between the Saints offense and the Panthers offense.
Green Bay had the 5th-best defense last season and I don’t see the Panthers putting up more than 14 – 17 points in this game. Newton is going to feel the pressure from the Packers LB’s and I’m expecting there to be at least a couple of turnovers. Green Bay should easily win this game, but whether they cover the point spread is an entirely different question.
Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers Point Spread
At the time this article is being written, the BetOnline Sportsbook has the Green Bay Packers favored by -9.5 (-110) on the spread. The best point spread for the Panthers is +10 (-110) at Bodog.
I never like to give up this many points on the road, but I think this is the right type of game for it. The Packers will likely take the crowd out of the game early, so the home-field advantage will be minimized against the Super Bowl Champs. Experience & confidence could cause a blowout, unless Newton can duplicate his efforts from last week (doubtful).
Rodgers should have no problem passing the ball, but I think the Packers will try to establish the run, which hurts their chances at covering a huge point spread. I’m a much bigger fan of this bet at -9.5 than I am at -10, so if you’re looking to bet on the Packers, be sure to sign up at BetOnline (instead of Bodog where you have to give up 10). It’ll be interesting to see where the money goes on this game, and watch the lines move as we get closer to game time. If the line goes over 10, we’ll update this post and our picks.
Panthers vs. Packers Money Line
The Green Bay Packers should win the game and betting on the money line could be next to a lock. However, the Packers money line is currently -475, creating a big risk for little payout. I can see some cappers arguing that there is value here, but I rarely risk $4.75 to win $1 when I can take the spread and roughly -110 instead. The Packers money line is not one of my favorite week 2 NFL betting picks, but I like adding this bet to a parlay to add value.
The latest Panthers money line is +390 at BetOnline, but we can’t take this bet unless we think the Panthers offer enough value. How often do they win this matchup? Is it better than 21% of the time? I’m thinking they win this game about 15-20% of the time when they get enough lucky breaks to eek out the win. So, I don’t see the value in this bet.
Packers vs. Panthers Over-Under Bets
The current Packers vs. Panthers over-under is 46 (-110) on either side at BetOnline. At Bodog, the over is 46 (-115) and the under is 46 (-105). If you’re taking the over, obviously you want to go to BetOnline. If you’re taking the under, go to Bodog.
At 46 points, either the Packers have to blowout the Panthers, or the Panthers have to find their way to the end zone. If the Packers defense can stop the Panthers offense, the game will likely go under the total. Since I think the Packers will be running more than usual, I’m thinking they’re less likely to put up 42 like they did last week against the Saints. I’m expecting in the range of 27-30 from the Packers, working the ground and pound to wear time off the clock. So, now we have to ask ourselves if the Panthers are capable of putting up 17 or more.
Personally, I think we’re going to see somewhere in the range of 10-17 from the Panthers, giving us more totals that go under than over – as long as the Packers stick to the run. If you think they’ll be passing more than I do, then you should probably take the over and hope the Packers blow this one out.
Bet on Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers
This is one of the toughest games on the card in week 2 and most bettors will be best laying off of this game. I’ll bet on the Packers as long as the point spread remains -9.5 or less, but no higher than that. If it goes to +10 or more, I’ll stay away from this game entirely. Since I’m not crazy about betting on this game, I’m going to wait until we get closer to game time and see where the lines go. As they move, we’ll update this post with our latest Packers vs. Panthers betting picks.
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